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Submitted by Bert on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 9:34am.
I have been seeing and hearing of a lot of opposition to the $700B bailout. I am interested in learning more about the reasons. bert From the description: President Bush says the $700 billion bailout of Wall St. necessary because he's worried about "Main St." Democrats say this plan has nothing in it for Main St. and needs changes. Ron Blackwell, Chief Economist at AFL-CIO says the neo-liberal policies of the last 35 years have failed. Economis Prof. Ellen Frank of the University of Massachusets adds: "This is clearly socializing risk with returns still privatized" Bio
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Hey! We're nationalizing everything!
Submitted by FRESH on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 11:04am.Time for everyone to read Shock Doctrine
Submitted by Laurian on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 1:52pm.The 'clean bill' proposed by the head of the FEC reads like an economic version of the Patriot act. The 700 billion ain't going anywhere any time soon. It's important this nation doesn't rush into a bad deal.
After watching CNN for a couple hours I'm concerned the malfeasance and institutional incompetence will be channel into anger at CEOs. Even if we take ever penny from those responsible for this mess we will be 675 billion short. The sickness lies in the deregulation of banks. This is an institutional problem that goes to the core of monetary police. Focusing on the illegal actions of a few thousand will allow the Republicans to hang this disaster on a handful of bad actors and not the steps needed to prevent this from happening again.
This crisis is an opportunity to discuss the fundamentals of our banking system. It cannot be allowed to disappear in righteous anger. For once I think Bert and I are on the same song sheeet.
For some backround on bank bails outs
Submitted by Laurian on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 2:16pm.Ever since we did away with New Deal regulation.
Submitted by FRESH on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 2:19pm.Thinking about this
Submitted by Laurian on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 3:06pm.Don't forget about...
Submitted by The Original Yoda on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 3:16pm.Suggestion's from Jesus' General
Submitted by The Original Yoda on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 3:24pm.Most consumer banks are relatively safe (and insured)
Submitted by Guglielmo on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 4:17pm.More information about the bailout
Submitted by Bert on Tue, 09/23/2008 - 9:52am.Contact information for Congressional Reps. Smith and Baird
Submitted by Bert on Tue, 09/23/2008 - 10:12am.Adam Smith:
Brian Baird:
Here's a link to an interesting article.
Submitted by FRESH on Tue, 09/23/2008 - 12:43pm.Massive Bailout? Hardly, a Massive Tar Pit Instead from The Wall Street Examiner's 'Winter Watch' blog.
No one wants to buy
Submitted by Guglielmo on Tue, 09/23/2008 - 3:32pm.Bernie Sanders has a plan.
Submitted by FRESH on Tue, 09/23/2008 - 6:30pm.The Socialist Senator talks about the bailout on his Huffington Post blog.
His four part plan, from the column:
Funny cuz it's true.
Submitted by FRESH on Wed, 09/24/2008 - 2:40pm.McCain turns the harbinger of depression into a campaign
Submitted by Laurian on Wed, 09/24/2008 - 3:51pm.tactic. McCain is proving once again what a mercurial and opportunistic leader he has become. Running back to DC is the high of cynical politics seeing as he sits on no relevant committees where the real work is currently being done. He will be needed only when time comes for the full Senate to vote on whatever comes out of committee. Before then, his presence in DC is akin to Bush in New Orleans after Katrina.
His desperate ploy does have the advantage of putting a slumping campaign (FOX news poll has Obama up by 6 as of Sept 22nd) on hold for a bit of retooling while McCain gets a day or two of free press for doing nothing.
And get this
Submitted by Guglielmo on Wed, 09/24/2008 - 4:06pm.McCain's...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 12:35pm.Campaign suspension is stupid. If anything, Friday's debate is supposed to be about domestic policy and should be more of a reason to get up to the podium.
It was a bit surprising coming back into the U.S., because every airport television was about the financial crisis and people were actually watching. I've been through a lot of airports over a number of years, and if it's not the NFL, people usually don't care about what's on the airport TV.
Both Time ("How Wall Street Sold Out America") and Newsweek ("The Bailout Artist: Henry Paulson's Bold New Plan") have the debacle on their cover this week. Time's article was pretty informative:
I was shocked to see people protesting "predatory lending" on CNN. As if you have to take the loan! Another 20-something, a friend of mine, was just approved for a $300,000 loan on a house. He has a good job and "could afford to make payments on it for four months," but it would be wholly irresponsible for him to do it. So - brace yourself - he's not!
Too many Americans have lived outside and beyond their income. My grandparents, when purchasing a house in the 1960s, had a much higher threshold for proving they would be able to make mortgage payments. Not only did my grandfather have to prove his income through paystubs, they also had to bring copies of bills in so the bank could calculate whether they would be able to afford the mortgage payment. Even though my grandmother was working, her income was excluded by the bank because she was of "child bearing age," meaning - from the bank's perspective - her income could disappear at any moment.
So not only have individuals been irresponsible, but banks today have become wreckless with the way they loan money. Both of these parties should pay heavily. There should be no no-strings bailouts, whether it's for your neighbor or your bank. Nobody is going to learn that while the system does work, it is designed to weed out the excess and the wreckless. Normally, this should only be a small percentage. When majority is drunk, though, the collapse will suck the sober in with it. This is why the government is now being put in the position to bailout.
Appropriately, I started reading The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression and thought this section was important, if only to be more aware of people who may try to change the system as a whole:
let 'em fall
Submitted by chad360 on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 12:32pm.I'm not a big fan of the bail-out-
-credit unions are "the way to go" as far as residential ownership is concerned.
I'd have hoped that the fiscally conservative crowd would have applauded the fall of foolish lenders (market fitness and all that pseudo-Darwin crap that some folks love to spout)...
...but, it looks like greed wins over logic again
>sigh<
I'm not...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 12:43pm.Necessarily against letting everyone fail (that's both your bank and your neighbor).
It's just my understanding that even the people who were fiscally responsible would go under with the failing crowd.
In the end, the people who were responsible and lived within their means are going to pay for all of this. At this point, it's a matter of which is worse: via a bailout or multiple financial institutions collapsing?
If you want to go another route, say the people at the top of the food chain being held responsible (where applicable) by serving decades in prison and - if necessary - by being shot.
The people who took loans knowing they couldn't afford them should suffer the consequences of being buried in debt they'll never climb out of.
As an aside, I do think that if necessary, people should be going to prison for both misrepresnting their ability to repay loans and those who were wreckless with investments and promising to payback bad loans when they didn't have the capital on hand to do so.
well...
Submitted by chad360 on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 1:00pm....I don't bank for profit, and I'd just let the folks keep the stuff-
-seems to me the lenders are the ones who are lame (and should forfeit).
But then again, I think the housing market is criminally overwrought, and out-of-the-reach for most folks.
Me in Charge:
I'm dumb, so this prob won't make sense, but I think that the US GOV should make it easy for folks to get housing, and encourage low costs for housing...
...help builders lower costs (like Habitat for Humanity), and while I acknowledge that some folks like to buy/sell/trade housing for profit, I think that the rest of us who are not into that scene should not have to compete (rate-wise/cost-wise), with the market inflation that such speculation brings-
Housing is essential for everyone, and housing debt should not be on the auction block to be sold, traded, or exploited.
No, it makes sense...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 1:15pm.And I don't disagree with your sentiment that lenders should be punished, because they should be.
But borrowers who misrepresented their ability to repay lenders should also be punished.
If we need more regulation, it's to force lenders to be more stringent in who they loan money to. For borrowers, it goes back to only taking money you can repay.
That's with the housing crisis.
In the other sector, financial institutions need to be punished for backing the amount of bad mortgages as they did.
The Asian market learned this lesson in the 1990s and banks are now required to keep a greater amount of cash on-hand. American banks should now be forced to do the same.
This problem isn't due to borrowers who mirepresented themselves
Submitted by Guglielmo on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 1:31pm.There is...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 7:00pm.A name for people who "think" they can afford a big mortgage on a small income: Gross Negligence
I'm not absolving creditors, because all parties are responsible for this mess.
From Reuters:
From Gug:
Most certainly. They need to ensure banks make it more difficult for people to acquire loans and increase the burden of proof that they are earning an appropriate income.
There's no such thing as being entitled to money from the bank.
I'm not against people - such as Kerry Killinger - going to prison for being wreckless with assets. For the most part regulators and the government should be hands-off, but if the government (read: taxpayers) are going to be forced to pay for bailouts, people need to be punished. Future CEOs of companies which are backed by the taxpayers should also earn the federal minimum wage. If the government has to step in and rescue your company, you clearly don't deserve a high salary.
JNA
Submitted by Laurian on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 1:47pm.Two points
Submitted by Thad Curtz on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 9:06pm.According to the NY Times in September, "In 2007, even as the credit crisis was spreading, Wall Street firms paid out an estimated $33 billion in bonuses."
Insuring these companies is a funny idea; usually you ask for insurance on the possibility that something might happen to some of the property in the pool, and that the premiums will be enough to cover the losses, plus the administrative expenses (plus some profit).
The details about the House Republicans' plan aren't out yet, but so far it seems to me that it's more as if the companies are calling up and saying "Our houses are *all* on fire right now." "We've bought them at the height of a speculative bubble and we've been renting them out to strangers and they've been completely beat to hell and we have no idea what they would actually be worth on the market (if they weren't on fire.)" And the House Republicans' new plan is like saying - So, let's write the owners a policy (with no premiums from them) promising to pay whoever buys them whatever people paid for them at the height of the bubble, if it should happen to turn out that they can't be sold for that again when the fires go out. And the point is - that then they can use the checks from the insurance policy to pay off the bank mortgages, and make the companies' investments in the derivatives look good again...
I call this more like a big fat blank check, not insurance.
And they want to cut the taxes on dividends and on capitol gains yet again, by the way...!
Thad
subsidizing the rich
Submitted by Bert on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 10:08pm.Another - more basic point
Submitted by Thad Curtz on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 8:01pm.The people who are really responsible are the people in Congress who set the rules of the game. If you're running a company, you have to do everything you can (at least within the rules) to make the company profitable. If you don't and your competitors do, your profits go down, your stock goes down, and pretty soon the board of directors fires you and replaces you with somebody who will do what the rules allow. It doesn't have a lot to do with your personal ethics - it has to do with your role in a system.
There's sad and moving testimony to Parliament by Josiah Wedgewood, the English pottery manufacturer, in the mid-19th century, begging to be regulated for just this reason. He says that as long as the rules allow children to work 16 hours a day (or whatever it was at that moment) he has to do it too, even though he personally hates it. If he doesn't, his profits will be lower than other companies'; his stockholders will sell his shares and buy shares in companies with higher returns, and his company will go out of business. It's only if the people who set the rules of the game make everybody making pottery reduce child labor that they can all be free to quit doing it.
Most of the talk in this thread so far seems to go back and forth about which individuals are personally the most morally responsible, which is a favorite American individualistic view of problems like this.
But how the system functions, and what people running companies have to do to keep them going as part of the system, resulted in this case from decisions by Congress about what to allow, and what to continue to allow in the face of warnings that the system was developing serious instabilities.
Best,
Thad
Yes - Congress is Responsible
Submitted by Bert on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 10:12pm."Legislation won't change the heart, but it will restrain the heartless." - Martin Luther King Jr. (...but it has to be enforced!...)
"What is morally wrong can never be advantageous, even when it enables you to make some gain that you believe to be to your advantage." – Marcus Tullius Cicero
From the Associated Press...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Thu, 09/25/2008 - 9:01pm.CEOs who got out before crisis left with millions:
Here's the kicker, especially since it's shaping up that this "bailout" will become a "blank check":
More on the Bailout from U.S. PIRG
Submitted by Bert on Fri, 09/26/2008 - 9:02am.Wait...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Fri, 09/26/2008 - 12:22pm.So this coalition is advocating that there not going to be any punishment for irresponsible borrowers?
I don't understand why the concept of an adjustable-rate mortgage escaped so many.
I'm honestly going back and forth between whether the government should sign-off on a "bailout" with numerous stipulations or simply let everyone - borrowers and lenders alike - fail.
"Thanks Hank"
Submitted by Bert on Fri, 09/26/2008 - 9:10am. »Once in a Century Rip-off
Submitted by Bert on Fri, 09/26/2008 - 9:11am.Economist Michael Hudson: The bailout is a giveaway that will cause hyperinflation and dollar collapse
Once in a century rip-off
Evidently...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Mon, 09/29/2008 - 10:32am.The House has decided to reject - for the time being - the bailout:
CNN:
Rep. John Culberson R-Texas had this to say:
A number of Republicans seem to be holding the line on traditional economic conservatism.
Enjoy the liquidity trap folks.
Submitted by Guglielmo on Mon, 09/29/2008 - 10:45am.Financial Post
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 11:52am."Bailout marks Karl Marx's comeback":
In an interview on CNN, Lou Dobbs railed on the lack of leadership in Washington, D.C. and on Wall Street, saying:
So, what politician should be on the podium with John McCain and Barack Obama when domestic issues are debated? How about Dr. Ron Paul. He's already well-published on the subject (with titles like "The Case for Gold: A Minority Report of the U.S. Gold" and "Gold, Peace and Prosperity: The Birth of a New Currency") and is against the Federal Reserve simply printing money (which is what will happen in the bailout) for the hell of it.
My take is that Dr. Paul is more knowledgeable about economics than either candidate still in the running.
go back to school?
Submitted by chad360 on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 11:58am.I'm curious why the post of President has not attracted any economists?
Economy, the real engine of life, is very important to everyone, and I'd be real pleased to see an candidate who is competent...
I think the bailout sends the wrong message to the market, but I'm dismayed that the Repubs lead the Dems in this block-
Baird voted yes >lame<
Shame this is turning into an ideological battle
Submitted by Guglielmo on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 12:08pm.Ron Paul...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 12:27pm.Isn't dead (yet, although he definitely does remind me of someone's grandpa)! Also, I'm kidding when I say that. I know you're talking about the economists mentioned.
And I would say returning to a currency based on gold - or at least giving the idea serious discussion at the national level - would be a bold action.
It's about oversight.
Submitted by FRESH on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 12:49pm.I also disagree that if Marx were alive he would be a fan of the bailouts and takeovers, I'm no Marxist, but even I know that's a pretty shallow interpretation of Marx's philosophies.
I wasn't talking about Dr. Ron
Submitted by Guglielmo on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 8:25pm.From my original response...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 8:41pm.Yah, yah...
Submitted by Guglielmo on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 7:15am.Gug you Bastard!
Submitted by Laurian on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 8:56pm.Hail Discordia
All Power to the Soviet
All Hail Eris!
Submitted by The Original Yoda on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 8:57pm.My Godess can kick your Godesses ass beyatch!
Submitted by Laurian on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 9:02pm.the bottom line...
Submitted by chad360 on Tue, 09/30/2008 - 8:56pm....is that currency is traded, and that means that a ditch digger in some depressed earning market is economically unequal to a ditch digger in a progressive labor market, and that just blows-
The "gold standard" is >bunk<
I'd much rather support global monetary equity based on something real, like the value of calories...
...seems to me, ditch diggers working on the same planet is the same climate would expend similar amounts of energy to obtaining profit, and unless money can be based on something that reflects work in a real ecology, there is always room for inequity.
Charging interest on loans is bad enough, but to trade debt is even worse~
~defeat greed by making private loans to friends and family =)
Holy crap...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 7:59pm.AP: A vote with unforeseen consequences?
What do any of these have to do with Wall Street? Absolutely nothing! They're just printing money for the hell of it at this point!
The Seattle Times has a Northwest angle:
Here's a part I don't understand, though:
Protect taxpayers from who? Did this mess not start in the subprime mortgage sector? Homeowners, property owners, banks, speculators, whomever participated in this garbage deserve to be holding the bag. Michelle Malkin has an article circulating in numerous papers, stating "illegal immigration, crime-enabling banks and open-borders Bush policies fueled the mortgage crisis. . .Half of the mortgages to Hispanics are subprime (the accursed species of loan to borrowers with the shadiest credit histories). A quarter of all those subprime loans are in default and foreclosure." The National Council of La Raza has been "'council[ing]' their constituents on obtaining mortgages with little or no money down."
I cannot emphasize this enough: a roof over your head is not an entitlement. It's not a right.
Creating an atmosphere where lenders are encouraged to lend to people who are not qualified is irresponsible. Printing money you don't have is irresponsible.
You want to create credit? Tighten the market up and stop printing money. Increase the minimum credit rating needed for people to own homes. Increase the down-payment percentage. Cut the market off, let it fix itself and then decide who it should be open to later.
Will we see a recession? At this point, I don't think anyone doubts that. But numerous people keep saying they have no idea what will happen once Congress injects this bailout into Wall Street. Dr. Ron Paul advocates the path that we "take our medicine" now rather than pay and have to take it later when it's much, much worse.
I think you're ignoring the real problem...
Submitted by FRESH on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 8:20pm.Okay...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 9:35pm.Are you talking about the current crisis or in general?
The government should only be monitoring the free market, to ensure accurate information is being given to the consumer. Beyond that, it is up to the shareholders to protect their own investment. If you think bad information is coming from the top or that a CEO's salary is too much, there are mechanisms within the company to deal with it. If you're not satisfied, sell your stake in the company.
I agree and I think most people would agree that the answer is oversight. Some people would say more oversight while I would say examine what is in place and simply exercise the oversight powers you already possess.
Which is why I'm surprised it might happen. A lot of people are hitting the panic button without asking the most basic question: Where is this money coming from?
Invading and occupying Iraq has cost $653 billion since 2003. Congress wants to spend more than that - the cost of occupying another country over five years - in a matter of days with zero guarantee it will do anything.
I'm talking about...
Submitted by FRESH on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 10:24pm.Oversight is the answer, way more oversight, paired with the closing of legal loopholes that allow these corporations to run amok. Go back and read Adam Smith. He wrote very plainly and clearly about the need for strong government oversight in order for capitalism to work. Working means everybody benefits from a strong economy, not just a relative few. Free marketeers, especially supply-siders, came along and destroyed the idea that our economic system is a social construct and turned it into everybody for themselves. That's not what Smith intended. I think we need to do what we need to do to stabilize the economy, I wish we could do it without bailing out these companies though I'm not sure that's possible.
one addition...
Submitted by FRESH on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 10:30pm.And so it is...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Fri, 10/03/2008 - 11:45am.The Seattle Times: "Congress OKs historic bailout bill; Bush signs it":
Not everyone was sold this time around, though.
Aaand the presidential angle...
I owe about $1,000 on my Visa. Hopefully the Obama administration will pay it off, since the irresponsible will be getting hand-outs.
McCain didn't do so well with members of his own party...
At the micro level...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Fri, 10/03/2008 - 3:08pm.CNN: "Fannie Mae forgives loan for woman who shot herself":
Not once in the article is there any mention of why she's taking a 30-year mortgage and opening up over $10,000 worth of credit on a house she purchased forty-eight years ago.
Did she get greedy? Were - ahem - property taxes increasing at a rate she couldn't keep up with?
Instead we're left with a story pitting the Big Bad Bank against the Helpless Old Lady.
Fannie Mae should not have forgiven this loan.
Submitted by FRESH on Fri, 10/03/2008 - 3:16pm.TFI, isn't the better question why in the h-e-l-l Countrywide (surprise surprise) gave an 87 YEAR OLD WOMAN a 30 year mortgage? That's ridiculous. That's subprime predatory lending and it's the kind of thing we need to eliminate through regulation.
Yes and I disagree...
Submitted by The Fire Inside on Fri, 10/03/2008 - 4:24pm.I agree completely, which is why I included a note in the original post. I have a feeling this situation is more common than not and why I have grown to object to the "bailout" (which, unfortunately, passed today) and let these companies fail.
At first I was unsure and more than willing to listen to any solution, but the more stories that came out (I was making $30,000-a-year and thought I could afford a $500,000 home! and signing off on 30-year mortgages to 89-year old women) the more I was inclined to simply let the market eliminate the excess and correct itself.