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Submitted by Rob Richards on Tue, 01/08/2008 - 10:54pm.
Hillary Clinton is up by two percentage points over Barack Obama with 95% of the precincts in New Hampshire reporting. Not exactly a momentum shifting victory for Clinton, but a victory nonetheless, and a big recovery from Iowa.

McCain on the other hand won big in New Hampshire taking 37% to Mitt Romney's second place finish at 32%. I wouldn't read too much into this for McCain, he was popular here in 2000 and was expected to do well here this time around also. McCain is sitting fourth or worse in the polls in South Carolina, Nevada, and Florida, and let's not forget that he failed to pick up a single delegate in Wyoming.

Like Iowa, the big side story is voter turnout. The Democrats tallied a total of 276,685 votes to the Republican's 226,640, a difference of just over 50,000 votes. This trend must be making the DNC very optimistic for the November election no matter who they end up fielding.

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Turn out...

How much of the difference in voter turn out between Iowa and New Hampshire was or is attributable to the difference between a primary and a caucaus? It is my understanding that it has a lot to do with the level of turn out. 

 

In looking at Democratic outsiders as candidates, they do not win the nomination of that party. In 2004 Howard the Duck was the outsider and did not win. In 2000 Bill Bradley was the outsider and did not win. Before that Slick Willy was the clear democratic establishment fav, and of course won twice. 

 

McCain as a 'conservative' nominee for my party is not trustworthy as our nominee and I look forward to his exit from the nomination process. He has abandoned conservative principals repeatedly undercutting his party and his constituents. 

 

Thomas Sowell speaks very clearly about the matter. “McCain's betrayals include not only the amnesty bill but also the McCain-Feingold bill that violated the First Amendment for the illusion of "taking money out of politics." His back-door deal with Democrats on judicial nominations also pulled the rug out from under his party leaders in the Senate.

The White House is not the place for a loose cannon. "

 

Read entire (excellent) short column here

C.

One of the great non sequiturs of the left is that, if the free market doesn't work perfectly, then it doesn't work at all-- and the government should step in.

Thomas Sowell

 

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Thanks for the link

Tschida.  I agree with Sowell, McCain is no good for the party.  Rudy belongs over with the demos in my opinion.

The bad thing is, the demos have candidates that are good for them.  Us Reps don't have a great candidate.

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You're right Rob

Large voter turnout is usually good news for the Dems. If Iowa and NH represent future trends, the next election will not be kind to the GOP.
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Bill "Slick Willie" Clinton

Was most certainly an outsider in 1992, and was the incumbent in '96 and no one ran against him.

No matter what system is used, people still turn out to vote, the difference is how the results are reported after the counts. Less R's than D's so far, if that continues, the R's are in trouble. I think JT hits the reason on the head, and I believe it's why we're going to have a D for a president this time around. Everybody in America wants change, R's and D's alike. None of the candidates so far are appealing to enough of the R base to win a baby kissing contest right now. You've got Romney, who may not even be a human being (I want to check for a power chord), Guili9/11ani, who has more skeletons in his closet than a costume shop, Huckabee, who is popular with the religious right but turns off moderates by being too much of a good old boy. In the distance you have McCain, who is just not a very good Republican historically, as Tschida touched on, and being popular in New Hampshire will not help him win over the average Republican.

I think, barring something spectacular, the R's are just out of luck this time around.

image
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I just wrote a response and then accidently deleted it . Uff Daa

One of the great non sequiturs of the left is that, if the free market doesn't work perfectly, then it doesn't work at all-- and the government should step in.

Thomas Sowell

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