User login

Who's online

There are currently 1 user and 13 guests online.

Online users

  • Crenshaw Sepulveda

Support OlyBlog

OlyBlog is run by volunteers who care about Olympia. If you like what we're doing, make a donation:

OlyBlog is powered by:

Who's new

  • Roger and Launchpad
  • alwayssharethejoy
  • olympianwatch
  • mpeper
  • BalletArtsOlymp...

    Creative Commons License
 
Submitted by Laurian on Tue, 04/08/2008 - 12:24pm.

As sexy as the debate over the proposed noise ordinance was, the Planning Commission had other two other items on it’s agenda.

Kraig Chalem from Olympia’s Community Planning and Development briefed the commission on changes and clarification on Temporary Use permits. These are the kind of permit you get to site a demolition debris dumpster, to have a garage sale, (Bet ya didn’t know you needed a permit to sell that crap in your garage?) or to annex some sidewalk in front of your restaurant for tables and chairs. Most of the proposed changes were to clarify definitions or to eliminate redundancies in the OMC.

Preceding Mr. Chalem was Mr. Andy Haub, Planning and Engineer Manager for the city. He briefed the Commission on the projected impact rising sea levels will have on Olympia.

The Climate Impact Group (http://cses.washington.edu/cig/) predicts the sea level rise (SLR) in the South Sound could be as much as 22” by 2050 and 50” by 2100. Downtown Olympia sits between one to three feet above sea level. A one-foot rise would cause ponding on some streets and flooding during extremely high tides. A two-foot rise would interfere with stormwater pipes and even causing the flow of water in them to reverse. A three-foot rise will flood most of downtown. These predictions are based on the most dire SLR scenarios.

A comment that caught my ear and got me to pay attention to Mr. Haub’s presentation was his mention that Olympia has sunk 8/10ths of a foot on the last fifty years. This is due not to subsiding of fill that most of downtown Olympia is built on, although it is a factor in figuring SLR impacts, but rather due to the sinking of the piece of the earth’s crust we sit on.

With Olympia sinking, sea levels rising and the recurrent flooding from storm surges it is probable that you and I will see significant incursions of water on downtown Olympia in our lifetimes. Damned if a feller can’t learn a thing or two by attending something as mundane as a Planning Commission meeting.

»

Maybe in the future...

...we can have those gondola taxis, after all.
»

Excellent!!!!

Now there's some forward thinking :)
»

You are reporting the "very high" estimates for SLR

That group's most resent study predicts sea levels in the Puget Sound will rise 3 to 22 inches by 2050 and 6 to 50 inches by 2100. These ranges are the "very low" and "very high" estimates produced by their models. The "moderate estimates" are 6 and 13 inches by 2050 and 2100, respectively. And, yes, South Sound is expected to be more severely affected by sea level rise because we are actually sinking at the same time(tectonically speaking).
»

Huh?

I thought the opposite was true. Aren't we "on top" in the subduction zone? I heard a geologist speaking on KUOW saying that northern parts of the Sound were rising, and as far as they could tell, southern parts were neutral.


> It's OK to be nice. <
enpen's social contract
»

Your right...sorta

I just reread the section on virtical land movement (VLM) in the report I posted and it cites one 1989 report that concluded the south sound was sinking. Subsequent studies indicate there is not conclusive evidence that we are sinking. So the "low" and "moderate" probability estimates of sea level rise assume no changes in VLM in the Puget Sound. Only the "high" estimate does so.
»

Interesting report.

Thanks for posting that.


> It's OK to be nice. <
enpen's social contract
»

Here's the study

See the table on page 10.
»

Thanks for the correction.

I have edited my original posting to reflect your correction.
»

50 inches

50 inches would cause quite a splash. I wonder what the prospect of an even larger inundation is. From what I hear it depends on the stability of Antarctica; which, if it starts melting in earnest, has the potential to cause major sea level rise. I have even heard estimates, in terms of worst case scenario, of a sea-level rise that is many meters in scope.

Aldo Leopold: "We abuse land because we regard it as a commodity belonging to us. When we see land as a community to which we belong, we may begin to use it with love and respect."
»

50 inches is already the "worst case" scenario

of the authors of that forecast.
»

range of forecasts

There is, understandably so, a wide range of forecasts available. Forecasts ranging from virtually insignificant sea-level rise to something on the order of catastrophic.

What is clear is the law of thermodynamics. We are subject to the conservation of matter and energy. The introduction of heat and heat-trapping green houses gasses into the atmosphere will have consequences.

For example, the increase in atmospheric carbon is changing the chemistry of ocean water. Ocean acidification has potentially harmful consequences for a variety of organisms, from coral species, to plankton.

If the antarctic starts melting in earnest along with the arctic, the sea level rise potential will be more than 50".
Let's hope that 50" is the worst case scenario.
»

Well...

"If the antarctic starts melting in earnest along with the arctic, the sea level rise potential will be more than 50"." If you have any research to support that (or describe it's likelihood), I'd be very eager to read it.
»

22 inches by 2050 would be ok

I think it would be good for real estate market.  Lots of new waterfront lots.  Plus, this is all theoretical and if the sun cools, or if we switch to cars without catalytic converters, then none of this will happen anyway. 

As for Antarctica melting, how's that going to happen? It's like freezing down there.  The breakup of some of ice shelfs is just the free market economy of ice blocks in action and 400 prominent economists have stated that a melting Antarctica could be the best thing to happen for jobs and productivity since the last voyage of the Exxon Valdez.    

The best solution to a slight rise of sea level will be to drive an appropriate vehicle.  Something with a little more puddle clearance that has a small footprint.  Hummer is the obvious choice, a Prius or other small rig is exactly what the terrorists want us to drive so that we can't negotiate a little standing water.  

Don't even get me started on the end times and the fact that some of us (144,000 of the best of the best if you ask me) are going to avoid all of the drama anyway courtesy of the Rapture. 

Forget about sea level rise, let's think about the important questions:

  • What firearm is going to be most useful if you are suddenly chosen in the rapture and can only take a single firearm with you?
  • Is it possible to engage in satire and not be disemvoweled?
»

eh...

...
»

No firearms for the raptured

 As Mike pointed out.  If you are left behind get yourself a nice pump shotgun and a Bible.  :-)  You can have my boat too.  Heck you can have the guns on my boat too. 


"Don't try to out-weird me, three eyes. I get weirder things than you in my breakfast cereal."- Zaphod Beeblebrox

"Beware the person who would take your guns. That person is your ENEMY."

»

Thpt! If you're chosen for

Thpt! If you're chosen for the Rapture, guns won't be necessary where you're going. They'll be plenty necessary for those Left Behind.
»

It's not a necessity, Merwyn, it's a right.

Of course, there is little reason to think that guns will be necessary for the Rapturous, but it's right there on the stone tablets that Moses found on the high ground near Philadelphia, the Bill of Commandments:

  1. You can say almost anything, but don't kill folks or take the Lord or Ronald Reagan's name in vain
  2. Guns are a God-given right and that right will be Rapturously respected unless the firearm can be pried from your rapturous fingers. 

There's a whole bunch of these rules, like don't covet your neighbor's ass or give testimony against your own mother or father, don't tax folks more than once because it's double jeopardy, and a whole bunch more.  I can't keep track of all them, but I have never heard a good argument that indicates that we won't be able to keep the arms we have with us when the Rapture comes.  I think the 2nd Commandment is essentially a sacred right, It doesn't say, you can bear arms except for the Rapture when you won't need them.  The second commandment is literally etched in stone.

The Bill of Commandments is strangely silent on global warming and rising sea levels.  I think some of us know exactly what that means.  

»

Whatever happens with

Whatever happens with climate change, I think we, as human beings, will be capable of dealing with the consequences and adapting.

However, that doesn't give us an excuse to go around polluting and causing death and destruction for the less adaptable - both amongst humanity, as well as amongst other species and beings.

Look at the extinctions that industrial society has caused. It's unacceptable.

I like the vision of humanity assuming the role of stewards of the Earth, protectors of all species and of bio-diversity.

What humanity is currently doing to the planet is unacceptable to me...

»

Maybe my former submarine training,

will come in handy for patroling the downtown. :)

"...terrorists portray themselves quite successfully among Muslims as the exponents of true and pure Islam...(Robert B Spencer, author)

itchyhitch.blogspot.com

»

yellow?

nt
»

That really made me laugh my ass off...

....hooo. Good One.
»

New patrol vehicles coming?

 


"Don't try to out-weird me, three eyes. I get weirder things than you in my breakfast cereal."- Zaphod Beeblebrox

"Beware the person who would take your guns. That person is your ENEMY."

»

I'll fit a deck gun on

 Libertarian and play surface support :-)


"Don't try to out-weird me, three eyes. I get weirder things than you in my breakfast cereal."- Zaphod Beeblebrox

"Beware the person who would take your guns. That person is your ENEMY."

»

Right on,

You know there are two types of ships in the ocean, "submarines and ....... targets",,,,hehe.

"...terrorists portray themselves quite successfully among Muslims as the exponents of true and pure Islam...(Robert B Spencer, author)

itchyhitch.blogspot.com

»

Then I need depth charges too?

 :-)  I always thought there were two kinds of ships, sailing vessels and stinkpots :-p


"Don't try to out-weird me, three eyes. I get weirder things than you in my breakfast cereal."- Zaphod Beeblebrox

"Beware the person who would take your guns. That person is your ENEMY."

»

Oh you silly kids!

Hydrofoils and air cushioned vehicles are the wave of the future. For the more environmentally conscious crowd I once saw a bicycle mounted on a pair of pontoons and the back wheel turned into a paddle wheel. I do have to say I like the gondola idea a lot as well.
»

Bah...

The wind will always blow, and there will always be sailboats.  I'm surprised with the rising cost of fuel, there isn't more talk of fitting cargo ships with masts and sails, or using kite sails on large craft to help save money.   


"Don't try to out-weird me, three eyes. I get weirder things than you in my breakfast cereal."- Zaphod Beeblebrox

"Beware the person who would take your guns. That person is your ENEMY."

»

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

OlyBlog.net

OlyBlog is devoted to citizen journalism, including hyperlocal news and discussion specifically about Olympia, Washington. If you care about this community and are tired of corporate media, then this is the place for you.

If you'd like to contribute, please register for an account. Here is a list of local news beats that need to be covered. You can post your news as a personal blog entry, and it will be reviewed (and possibly edited) for promotion to the front page. Once you've established a record of responsible blogging, you can become an autonomous user. You can also send news via email. All members of OlyBlog agree to abide by our comment and fair use policies. If you are frustrated about something said in a comment thread, go here.

Now playing at:

Latest Classified Ads

Get Firefox!


More Flickr photos tagged with "olympia" and "washington"

OlyBlog is a site for news and discussion about Olympia, Washington.
free hit counter