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Intellectual Honesty
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:11am.I agree
Submitted by Rob Richards on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:15am.Yeah
Submitted by Sarah on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 12:24pm.I can't find my past post right now, but I wrote about another popular fallacy that is used from time to time. Something along the lines of: You say that pepper spraying nonviolent protesters is wrong. But you didn't mention how millions of fetuses are aborted every day. So therefore your initial statement is false.
I even used yahoo answers to solicit more info on this:
I got this helpful response from Helmut:I picked never, what do I win?
Submitted by Rob Richards on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:12am.For you Rob
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:18am.but I don't drink PBR, I drink Rainier
Submitted by Rob Richards on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:23am.Says who?
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 11:34am.My fuzzy alcohol-influenced
Submitted by Merwyn Haskett on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 12:06pm.Prove me wrong.
Yorn desh born, der ritt de gitt der gue
Orn desh, dee born desh, de umn børk! børk! børk!
The Swedish Chef
I know he bribed you to say that
Submitted by Sarah on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 12:12pm.Rob bribed you to say that, right? I don't know what he bribed you with, but there is no proof that he didn't, or that you didn't take the bribe.
Some people who say they were at the Broho blogged about it on the internets and there are pictures. Of a guy holding a neon colored drink. Obviously him since they say it is. Or was. And money is always involved in such matters, right? So there was a bribe.
If you or anyone else say there wasn't a bribe you are obviously one of them. And you know what they do.
Nuff said
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 1:21pm.Is this where my tax dollars are going? Photoshop?
Submitted by Rob Richards on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 1:35pm.I eat lunch at home dude
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 1:42pm.and your tax dollars couldn't pay for my attention.
Nice hat.
Man...I crack myself up sometimes
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 3:56pm.I Couldn't Vote
Submitted by JstPlnOnry on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 4:04pm.because there was no WHO CARES option!
I am a wobbly at heart. Always have been. Think I always will be. - Olyblogger "Mike"
Well now
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 4:17pm.I Only Say That Because
Submitted by JstPlnOnry on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 3:27pm.as evidenced around here, no matter how much somebody believes X is true, there's always someone else who jumps in demanding to know what makes X true because they don't believe X is true. Then it's just back & forth belittling & nitpicking trying to convince the other one to change their mind.
So I'm at a point where I just say "Who Cares"! Once somebody is set in their ways, thinking or reasoning, it's almost next to impossible to change them or convince them otherwise.
The port protests are a perfect example of that. Some believe they were a worthy cause, others didn't. Those that didn't were told to leave Olyblog because the majority felt what they were doing equaled X must be true. Anymore, nothing posted around here is worth going to the extremes some have gone to. I see subjects in the recent posts section and just know without opening them that somebody has opened a can of worms and I just don't care to be a part of it. I log on here to see what's going on in my community and look for interesting posts & pictures that don't involve controversy. When I stumble on one with controversy, I just say to myself, "who cares, stay out of it, your opinion is worthless on this topic anyway" because I believe to X to be false while a larger majority believe it to be true and I don't want to go through the turmoil of belittling trying to convince me I'm wrong or the hurt from being told I don't belong here, a blog dedicated to my community.
I am a wobbly at heart. Always have been. Think I always will be. - Olyblogger "Mike"
+1
Submitted by Ehver Green on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 4:31pm.Who cares.
Thanks for your valuable participation guys
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 4:40pm.I voted. And it was even one
Submitted by Merwyn Haskett on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 4:42pm.Yorn desh born, der ritt de gitt der gue
Orn desh, dee born desh, de umn børk! børk! børk!
The Swedish Chef
Thanks Merwyn
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 5:02pm.You're right, I could have
Submitted by Ehver Green on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 5:31pm.You're right, I could have and should have refrained. The whole SC, OB Bill of Rights, say this, bold that, no, too much bold on that, etc., has me feeling pretty sour toward Olyblog as a real community resource these days. I'm having a tough time trying to understand comments like "maybe you don't belong here" and the like. As you so beautifully state - they are real distractions from the point of content. Content knows no bounds - why should we?
Gug, I'm sorry.
I gave it an occasionally
Submitted by Norm on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 5:10pm.Good points Norm
Submitted by Guglielmo on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 5:42pm.However, in courts of law, we begin with the presumption of innocence. That's actually a perfect example of how we've created a system to deal with this logical falacy. Because we often cannot prove that some one did not commit a crime, we call everyone innocent by default. "You are innocient because there is no proof that you are not innocent" is a legal construct, not a logical conclusion.
As for poor Phil, put it in terms of my original question: "Phil is a virgin because there is no proof he is a not virgin." Phil's virginity is not the issue here. It's the method of reasoning that is in question.
I believe the finding is guilty or not guilty
Submitted by Mike on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 6:16pm.OJ for example was not found to be innocent, he was found not guilty. Similarly, I think the presumption of innocence is that a person is presumed innocent until found guilty.
Small points, but I make my living choosing words carefully and it becomes a habit.
How come you gotta bring me into it?!
Submitted by Phil Owen on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 12:53pm.It's the method of reasoning
Submitted by Norm on Mon, 01/28/2008 - 6:00pm.It's the method of reasoning that is in question.
I'm not sure that your title, “X is true because there is no proof that X is false.” How often is that statement true Addresses this question specifically enough. The last half of your title could be answered many different ways, by many different persons. Maybe "Does this method of reasoning ring true everytime that it is used?"
it doesn't matter
Submitted by enpen on Mon, 01/28/2008 - 10:45pm.The method of reasoning is neither true nor false, rather it is valid or invalid. I can create a perfectly valid argument with a completely false conclusion. Example: If Jason walks into the kitchen tonight then the world ended 25 minutes ago. I just walked into the kitchen, therefore the world ended 25 minutes ago. Valid reasoning, but the world actually ended 28 minutes ago.
Likewise, I can create an invalid argument that has a true conclusion. Example: All bald people write like they type. Jason writes like he types, so Jason is bald. And while it's true that I'm bald, the conclusion does not follow from the premise therefore the reasoning is invalid. When somebody makes a claim, Odin exists, then the lack of evidence that Odin does not exist is not support of that claim. Rather, Odin's existence is only valid if premises are established which directly lead to that conclusion.
One source of confusion with these things is that valid and invalid reasoning structures do not account for the odds based continuum that most people experience on a daily basis. For example: My keys are not on the table, so they must be in my pocket. An invalid argument but in reality the fact that my keys are not on the table increases the odds that they must be in my pocket in much the same way that the Sonics being crappy in Seattle means that they'll win the championship within five years of relocating.
What Jason said...
Submitted by Guglielmo on Tue, 01/29/2008 - 9:21am.Maybe I asked the question wrong
Submitted by Norm on Tue, 01/29/2008 - 4:52pm.I should have asked
Submitted by Guglielmo on Tue, 01/29/2008 - 5:03pm.This makes sense
Submitted by Norm on Tue, 01/29/2008 - 5:11pm.I believe an easy solution might be that we
Submitted by Mike on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 6:12pm.post as true, only what we "know" to be true, retract if/when it becomes apparent it is either not true or is simply conjecture.
I believe it might be good to post we believe as opinion, or with preface, example: I believe ... because .... etc, etc.
sticking to data and solid analysis is probably old model journalism, much too caught up with facts, truth, healthy skepticism etc. and that chills the conversation.
I am told we may have more productive conversations if we simply forego this whole true and false dichotomy and just keep smiling and nodding at each other.
I am told we may have more
Submitted by Phil Owen on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 12:56pm.I am told we may have more productive conversations if we simply forego this whole true and false dichotomy and just keep smiling and nodding at each other.
Comments like this give me a real strong sense that you harbor a profound disrespect for this blog and for its participants. I wish you would rethink your relationship to the community here.
The Canaanite's Call
If
Submitted by security_six on Fri, 01/25/2008 - 10:42pm.There is little, no or confused evidence it is not always possible to prove something true/false. For instance I could say that because X number of people drown every year in boating accidents while not wearing a life jacket, I could say that because I wear a life jacket I am x times more likely to survive an accident where I fall overboard. There are facts and data that support this.
I could also say X number of people are shot each year with 9mm handguns, while there are no known cases of a 7.62mm Nagant revolver being used in a shooting in the United States. I could then using that information proclaim the Nagant is the safest handgun in the US. The real facts are that 9mm is a popular police and home defense weapon, while the 7.62 Nagant is a historical curiosity, difficult to use compared to other revolvers, and fires a scarce and horribly expensive round. In other words nobody really uses the blasted things except as collector's items and the occassional range session. Sure I keep my loaded by the bed, but that is so any bad guy will laugh himself to death when I pointed it at him :-) Actually to get off subject for a moment, it is a fine weapon within it's limitations. It was used on plenty of Nazis (and probably silly free thinkers during the Stalin Purges) it's just not the first thing anyone would want to grab. But in the close confines of the boat I don't have to worry about over penetration, etc... but I digress.
My initial facts were limited and biased in the gun example. Yet if anyone cares to research the matter and find some hard numbers we could have all sorts of arguments with the data. And the data that supports the data. Etc...
Sometimes things are cut and dried, sometimes they aren't. What do you do when they aren't? When there is no black/white yes/no on/off. What if there is black/grey/white, yes/maybe/no on/standby/off?
"It's okay to be armed"
security_six's social contract
S6, I am nodding in agreement, parts of that post
Submitted by Mike on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 7:52am.were excellent, especially the breakdown of important facts behind what would otherwise be a statistical misrepresentation.
If all the posters here could understand the stats and studies as you do, we would have more meetings of the mind.
You and I share affection for our civil rights and the ability to understand and deconstruct studies and stats to find a nugget of truth if such exists.
I think with enough capital I could commission 400 prominent scientists to support a contention that the science shows a Nagant to be an incredibly safe handgun. Doesn't make it so as you have shown here, but the word of 400 prominent scientists might cause a sudden and temporary spike in Nagant sales.
Important question:
Submitted by Mike on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 7:58am.An ethical position is to post things we know to be true as true. To publicly retract if and when something we "know" to be true turns out to be untrue or very uncertain, and to post about things that are not cut and dried, are not clearly true of untrue as areas of question, areas where study is needed, more thought, study, is required if it is an area of important public policy.
You know that, right? Human communication, ethical presentation, accountability, this stuff isn't quantum physics.
It is true that
Submitted by Guglielmo on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 1:06pm.an example I used to use in classes
Submitted by enpen on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 1:49pm.I've been inside for hours. I walk out and the streets are wet. I think to myself, "it must have rained while I was inside." Judy, my kind and humble neighbor, walks by me with her Welsh Corgi, notes me looking around and casually says, "I hadn't seen a rainstorm like that in 10 years!"
My conclusion? Correct. My logic? Flawed. Rather than a common mistake it seems to be pervasive in our country's thinking and discourse; over 90% of the U.S. college graduates I taught had to learn how to recognize and not commit this fallacy.
A Welsh Corgi can cause all manner of ill weather.
Submitted by Guglielmo on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 3:32pm.I checked "Don't Know"
Submitted by Phil Owen on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 1:07pm.But I may have misunderstood the question.
[Validity of a structure of an arguement] "X is true because there is no proof that X is false." If I take the entire statement within the quotes, then the correct answer is "Never". The reason is that the statement as a whole represents a logical fallacy, and can never be true.
[Question of "Is X true?"] If I try to answer simply whether "X is true", and I have "no proof that X is false", the correct answer is "I don't know". The reason is that I have not yet been given any valid evidence.
The Canaanite's Call
The poll is intended to be about the entire statement
Submitted by Guglielmo on Sat, 01/26/2008 - 1:10pm.